Greek default risk: What it could mean for Australia

Font size :
Financial analysts around the world have their eyes set firmly on Europe, waiting to see whether the European Union will approve another Greek bailout.
In recent weeks the situation has continued to escalate, with many pondering if, when, and how the Greek debt crisis will unfold- and what flow on effects Australia is likely to feel.
Your Money Magazine spoke to Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP who said while there will be no direct impact on Australia, the indirect effects are harder to quantify and far more insidious.
Oliver said Australian exposure to Greek debt is very minimal and in fact makes up less than 0.3% of world economic activity.

However, in light of the panic which resulted from the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008, Oliver said investors may worry about what would happen if European banks began to collapse as a result of this most recent crisis.

Oliver said that the global economy may take a hit as a result of the sovereign debt crisis, and the Australian economy may experience indirect, flow-on effects in four ways:

1. Confidence: as a result of falls in global share markets, consumers may exercise even more caution by spending less, with retailers taking a hit as a result.

2. Paper losses: Loss of share market wealth may make people feel poorer as a result of share market losses and curb their market activity.

3. Immediate impact on rate of exports: via flow-on effects through Asian trading partners.

4. Financial ramifications: if markets go into meltdown, banks may increase rates to absorb these costs, yet this is likely to be offset by predicted Reserve bank cuts to the official interest rate by Christmas.

Oliver said that while the RBA has rates on hold for the moment, with the economy slowing locally, and uncertainty in the global economy, it is only a matter of time before official rates come down.

 

Whether you are looking to buy your first home, move home, refinance, or invest in property, a mortgage broker can help. Access loans from all the major lenders, get help with paperwork – plus there is no charge for this service. Get help from a local mortgage broker

Mortgage News and Articles

How to tell when a housing market is cooling How to tell when a housing market is cooling

You need to check clearance rates, listings, and the price gap, among other factors Read more

Growing demand for green apartments in Sydney Growing demand for green apartments in Sydney Both owner-occupiers and investors favour eco-friendly buildings for their energy-saving features and reduced environmental footprint ... Read more

Are property investors as rich as they appear? Are property investors as rich as they appear? A multi-property portfolio doesn’t guarantee easy millions ... Read more

Be proactive about getting a better mortgage deal Be proactive about getting a better mortgage deal Apathy could be costing you a considerable amount of money over the lifespan of your loan ... Read more

More mortgage news and articles

Sponsored Links

Wednesday, Sep 20, 2017
Top Featured Rates
Top Bank Rates

Get help choosing the right home loan

Let us help you find the right home loan for your needs.

Tell us a bit about your circumstances:
  • Purpose of mortgage
  • Household Income
    $
  • How much do you want to borrow?
    $
  • How much deposit do you have?
    $
  • How much is your house worth?
    $
  • How much do you still owe on your mortgage?
    $
  • What type of mortgage do you have?


  • How much is your new home?
    $
  • How much do you want to borrow?
    $
  • How soon do you want a mortgage?
Next
  • First name
  • Last name
  • Where do you live?
  • Phone number

Special Offers

Related Keywords